The final ingredient in the fast-rising Chinese cleantech soufflé is finance.
Even as China overtakes the U.S.
in the dubious category of "world's leading greenhouse gas producer,"
it is also well ahead of the U.S. in developing the technologies and
policies to solve the problem--and selling those solutions to us at
massive profits which could have been ours.
On a recent trip, I saw entire Chinese towns powered by farm waste
and enough windmills for jousts with ten thousand Don Quixotes. As you
read this, China will have just surpassed the U.S. as the leading
producer of wind turbines, many of which are exported at very high
margins. And to get a sense of just how fast China is leaving us in
their rearview mirror, consider this: the Golden Dragon has doubled its
wind capacity every year since 2004.
Solar too. I wrote a speech for California Governor Arnold
Schwarzenegger in 2005 when he visited China on a trade mission. He
spoke at Tsinghua University in Beijing, "China's MIT," and held up the
world's most efficient solar cell, designed by Silicon Valley's
SunPower Corporation. The cells were being manufactured in China for
export back to the states, but SunPower had to double capacity because
of Chinese domestic demand. Schwarzenegger noted that a student in the
audience might design the next/better solar cell someday--and every head
nodded with knowing smiles. So while we have already lost the battle
for low-cost, high-tech manufacturing, we may soon lose bragging rights
and IP royalties when our designs are surpassed by China.
One reason China is leaving us in the dust is a shrewd government
that has invested 40% of its stimulus funding in green companies,
compared to just 12% by U.S. taxpayers, ensuring the rapid growth of
the economic gift that keeps on giving. They also get the money out the
door--compare our Department of Energy, which is still mired in
communist-era bureaucracy and can't ever seem to pull the trigger on
loan guarantees/grants for projects that actually work. The secret is
that the Chinese government fast-tracks projects that create economies
of scale, recently approving a 25 square mile solar farm. That helps
Chinese companies get costs down and become even more competitive
globally.
The final ingredient in the fast-rising Chinese cleantech soufflé is
finance. When I spoke in Hong Kong to investors, pension funds, and
shoe shine boys with coins to invest, they are all putting money into
these clean technology companies and looking for more. That includes
real estate investors, who are looking for green development projects
with LEED or other certified efficiencies. My firm, Pegasus Sustainable
Century Merchant Bank, recently partnered with Ross Perot's Hillwood
Realty to host a US tour for the China Real Estate Chamber of Commerce
and 30 of their investors. They're looking at green projects, but also
figuring out which energy efficiency and green building products they
can take back to China for use in their own developments.
But never fear: everyone I spoke to in China's government and
private sector was very polite. They are willing to share all of this
with the rest of the world--at the right price, of course. See you at
the race track!
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